Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

$752,698 volume on Manifold

Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →

manifold

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

60.7%$0.61

Loading chart...

Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Gemini 62¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 42%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 7%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Google 65¢

Selected BetWill AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$752.7K

Yes

60.7%

No

39.3%

No whale trades found for this event.