Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

$30,895 volume on Manifold

Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →

manifold

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

85.5%$0.86

Loading chart...

Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 50¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 48%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
AI bubble burst by...? — June 30, 2027 21¢

Selected BetWill AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$30.9K

Yes

85.5%

No

14.5%

No whale trades found for this event.