Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

$534 volume on Manifold

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Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

79.2%$0.79

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How this market resolves

Resolves yes if, in my judgement, that’s the reason for the award, even if those exact terms don’t appear in the official announcement. If I’m not around, someone else can resolve it in that spirit. Past winners and rationales: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turing_Award (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turing_Award)

Source: Manifold rules

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Selected BetWill a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$534

Yes

79.2%

No

20.8%

No whale trades found for this event.