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In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?

$13,611 volume
manifold
In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?
76.0%$0.76
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Selected BetIn 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?
M
Trading via Manifold
Yes$13.6K Vol
76.0%
No$13.6K Vol
24.0%
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