In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?

$14,299 volume on Manifold

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In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?

84.1%$0.84

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Selected BetIn 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$14.3K

Yes

84.1%

No

15.9%

No whale trades found for this event.