In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

$11,729 volume on Manifold

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In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

20.3%$0.20

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Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 44¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 47%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
OpenAI IPO by...? — June 30, 2027 35¢

Selected BetIn 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$11.7K

Yes

20.3%

No

79.7%

No whale trades found for this event.