In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

$351,512 volume on Manifold

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In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

81.9%$0.82

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Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Gemini 61¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 42%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 7%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Google 65¢

Selected BetIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$351.5K

Yes

81.9%

No

18.1%

No whale trades found for this event.