AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?
Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →
How this market resolves
RSG = Random Seed Glitchless Must be Java version CAN: Can use scaffolds or similar. CAN'T: Cannot slow down game time or stuff like that. Can't get human help. Can't reverse engineer (by running scripts) what seed it is in from world features to know where structures will be before seeing them (eg blind travelling to the stronghold) Traders may want to look at the official rulebook for Minecraft RSG: https://www.minecraftspeedrunning.com/public-resources/rules Important: For the purpose of this market, the run must generally follow the Minecraft RSG rules insofar as the rules are not related at all to the fact that the participant is human. For example: If the rulebook says you can't write stuff down, and instead need to keep things to memory, but the AI keeps things to memory by writing information into its memory bank, that is allowed. If the rulebook says snapshots can't be used to set Minecraft RSG runs, the AI must not use snapshots to resolve this market positively, as this rule is not related to the fact that it is an AI. However, uninvolved persons may determine, at time of resolution, whether a rule ought to be allowed or ignored on a case-by-case basis, in…
Source: Manifold rules — excerpt of the text the venue publishes.
Related events
- Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 48¢
- In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 48%
- Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
- Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
- AI bubble burst by...? — June 30, 2027 21¢