8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]

$16,142 volume on Manifold

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58.0%$0.58

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In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 50%
Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 46¢
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 5%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
OpenAI IPO by...? — June 30, 2027 41¢

Selected Bet8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$16.1K

Yes

58.0%

42.0%

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8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]

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