Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? — Before 2050

$21,049 volume on Kalshi

Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →

Before 2050

68.0%$0.68

Loading chart...

How this market resolves

If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi rules

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? — Yes 2¢
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? — 1 65¢
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? — 14–16 60¢
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? — 1 47¢
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? — Yes 1¢

Selected BetBefore 2050

Trading via Kalshi

Market Volume$21.0K

Yes

68.0%

32.0%

Trade

No whale trades found for this event.

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? — Before 2050

How this market resolves

Related events