What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? — MJJ 2026 through MAM 2027

$90,360 volume on Kalshi

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How this market resolves

Rules for the outcome “At least 3.0°C”. Every other outcome on this page resolves on its own criteria.

If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is at least 3.0°C, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi rules

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? — Yes 2¢
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? — 1 65¢
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? — 14–16 58¢
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? — 1 46¢
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? — Yes 1¢

Selected BetAt least 3.0°C

Trading via Kalshi

Market Volume$39.3K

Yes

58.0%

42.0%

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What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? — MJJ 2026 through MAM 2027

How this market resolves

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