Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena? — Before 2027
$250,187 volume on Kalshi
Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →
Loading chart...
How this market resolves
Rules for the outcome “Gemini”. Every other outcome on this page resolves on its own criteria.
If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi rules
Related events
- Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — None in 2026 56¢ · Same question on Polymarket
- Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Gemini 62¢
- In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 42%
- Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 7%
- Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
Selected BetGemini
Trading via Kalshi
Market Volume$58.9K
Yes
No