2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — At the release of the national House popular vote data
$3,066,242 volume on Kalshi
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How this market resolves
Rules for the outcome “Democrats, 8 to 10%”. Every other outcome on this page resolves on its own criteria.
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 8 and 10 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi rules
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Selected BetDemocrats, 8 to 10%
Trading via Kalshi
Market Volume$199.5K
Yes
No