Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? — In 2026

$28,473 volume on Kalshi

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Hottest

51.0%$0.51

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How this market resolves

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi rules

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? — Yes 2¢
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? — 1 65¢
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? — 14–16 58¢
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? — 1 46¢
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? — Yes 1¢

Selected BetHottest

Trading via Kalshi

Market Volume$28.5K

Yes

51.0%

49.0%

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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? — In 2026

How this market resolves

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