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Iran / Middle East lobby background

Lobby

Iran / Middle East

Lobby Cap

1,025,877,121

98%

Transactions

12,751

Markets

60
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force? — the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act has entered into force and become legally operative between the two governments
Before Jan 1, 202712%
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force? — the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act has entered into force and become legally operative between the two governments9%
$13,807

Shown: 8 of 60

Stats

Overall Sentiment

16%

84%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

135,585,208

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

3,265,912

Active Users

43,288

Events

8

Market Providers

kalshimanifoldpolymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$1,976.00

on

NO

$0.76

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$1,015.20

on

NO

$0.76

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$5,791.90

on

NO

$0.76

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$2,034.99

on

NO

$0.76

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$2,400.00

on

YES

$0.24

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$3,208.10

on

NO

$0.76

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$1,857.72

on

YES

$0.25

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$1,857.72

on

YES

$0.25

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$4,953.92

on

YES

$0.25

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$3,175.25

on

NO

$0.75

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$5,950.00

on

NO

$0.85

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$1,260.00

on

YES

$0.25

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$3,793.32

on

YES

$0.25

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$2,550.00

on

NO

$0.85

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$1,334.58

on

NO

$0.78

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$2,300.00

on

YES

$0.23

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$2,868.96

on

NO

$0.86

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$30,100.00

on

NO

$0.86

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$2,822.64

on

YES

$0.24

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$3,997.97

on

NO

$0.75

The Middle East lobby tracks the highest-volume geopolitical prediction markets on the platform — Iran nuclear deal odds, US military action timelines, Strait of Hormuz disruption risk, regime change speculation, and conflict escalation markets across the region.

The most active markets right now: Iran agrees to end uranium enrichment by June 30, Will Trump declare war on Iran, and Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by April 30. These markets move in minutes when news breaks — missile strikes, ceasefire proposals, and sanctions shifts all reprice immediately, often ahead of traditional news coverage.

This lobby attracts geopolitical analysts, energy traders, and defence sector professionals who track these outcomes with real conviction. $200M+ in combined volume across active markets.

polymarketmanifoldkalshi
60Markets

Iran / Middle East

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