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Iran / Middle East lobby background

Lobby

Iran / Middle East

Lobby Cap

1,034,125,588

95%

Transactions

12,877

Markets

52
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force? — the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act has entered into force and become legally operative between the two governments
Before Jan 1, 202712%
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force? — the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act has entered into force and become legally operative between the two governments11%
$14,519

Shown: 8 of 52

Stats

Overall Sentiment

15%

85%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

142,654,003

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

3,517,655

Active Users

43,288

Events

8

Market Providers

kalshimanifoldpolymarket

Recent trades of $500+ in the last 7 days

Iran leadership change by December 31?

$2,670.00

on

NO

$0.89

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$3,800.00

on

YES

$0.19

Iran leadership change by December 31?

$1,065.32

on

NO

$0.88

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$5,040.00

on

NO

$0.84

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$638.12

on

NO

$0.86

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$2,125.00

on

NO

$0.85

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$940.00

on

NO

$0.94

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$2,513.16

on

NO

$0.96

Iran leadership change by October 31?

$749.73

on

NO

$0.99

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$50,400.00

on

NO

$0.84

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$4,700.00

on

NO

$0.94

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$5,640.00

on

NO

$0.94

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$3,400.00

on

NO

$0.85

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$850.00

on

NO

$0.85

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$7,225.00

on

NO

$0.85

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$18,564.64

on

YES

$0.18

Iran leadership change by December 31?

$1,025.45

on

YES

$0.11

Iran leadership change by December 31?

$1,237.09

on

NO

$0.89

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$8,712.00

on

NO

$0.85

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$82,781.00

on

NO

$0.85

The Middle East lobby tracks the highest-volume geopolitical prediction markets on the platform — Iran nuclear deal odds, US military action timelines, Strait of Hormuz disruption risk, regime change speculation, and conflict escalation markets across the region.

The most active markets right now: Iran agrees to end uranium enrichment by June 30, Will Trump declare war on Iran, and Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by April 30. These markets move in minutes when news breaks — missile strikes, ceasefire proposals, and sanctions shifts all reprice immediately, often ahead of traditional news coverage.

This lobby attracts geopolitical analysts, energy traders, and defence sector professionals who track these outcomes with real conviction. $200M+ in combined volume across active markets.

polymarketmanifoldkalshi
52Markets

Iran / Middle East

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