Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? — In 2026

$424,843 volume on Kalshi

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Hottest

67.5%$0.68

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How this market resolves

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi rules

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? — Yes 1¢
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? — 1 79¢
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? — 14–16 59¢
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? — 1 49¢
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? — Yes 1¢

Selected BetHottest

Trading via Kalshi

Market Volume$424.8K

Yes

67.5%

32.5%

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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? — In 2026

How this market resolves

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