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kalshimanifoldpolymarket

Will Alejandro Moro Canas win the Moro Canas vs Agamenone : Round Of 32 match?

$2,921.38

on

YES

$0.98

KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FFC501C8A7B-296C9AECAC0

$2,344.96

on

YES

$0.06

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR31KESTJE-KES

$2,283.33

on

YES

$0.83

KXNBASPREAD-26APR01BOSMIA-BOS4

$5,200.00

on

YES

$0.52

KXMLBTOTAL-26APR011305WSHPHI-8

$1,327.20

on

NO

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KXMLBTOTAL-26APR011305WSHPHI-8

$3,353.76

on

NO

$0.48

KXRT-SUP-55

$4,556.97

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NO

$0.99

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?

$1,199.41

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NO

$0.70

Bitcoin price range on Apr 1, 2026?

$1,540.00

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NO

$0.77

Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Bayern Munich Winner?

$1,321.98

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YES

$0.66

KXMVESPORTSMULTIGAMEEXTENDED-S2026DDE8DAB3CE9-9291A18855F

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YES

$0.59

KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26APR02ILSTAUB-AUB4

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YES

$0.64

Will Sebastian Ofner win the Brancaccio vs Ofner : Round Of 32 match?

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YES

$0.27

Will the S&P 500 be above 6594.9999 on Apr 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT?

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YES

$0.51

Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals Winner?

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KXMLBTOTAL-26APR011235TEXBAL-9

$3,578.64

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KXMLBTOTAL-26APR011235TEXBAL-9

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Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals Winner?

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Bitcoin price on Apr 1, 2026?

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Will Juan Bautista Torres win the Midon vs Torres : Round Of 16 match?

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NO

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kalshimanifoldpolymarket
60Markets

Economics

The Economics markets are moving. Join the discussion.

MA
martking

2d ago

wait so if the fed's projecting one cut for 2027, why is everyone betting no emergency cuts this year?

MA
martking

6d ago

68% for emergency rate cuts is crazy high but honestly after they held steady again yesterday feels like they're just gonna panic cut when something breaks

MA
martking

9d ago

lol who's buying 68% on emergency rate cuts? fed literally just held steady and said they're chillin

MA
martking

12d ago

35% on uk growth? lol they literally just posted 0.1% last quarter and reeves is already making excuses. that economy is cooked

MA
martking

12d ago

honestly think everyone's sleeping on how stubborn powell's being. 68% on zero emergency cuts when he just held rates again? dude's gonna break something first

MA
martking

12d ago

The 68% on zero emergency rate cuts this year looks mispriced given current labor market dynamics. Core PCE at 2.8% and wage growth decelerating to 3.2% suggests the Fed has more room to move than markets are pricing in. If we see any meaningful uptick in unemployment claims over the next quarter, that probability should shift dramatically toward at least one emergency cut.